"New Zealand Agribusiness Report Q4 2015" now available at Fast Market Research

We believe that increased access to international markets, particularly Taiwan and China, will prove to be the prime growth driver for the agribusiness sector in New Zealand over the medium -to- long term. This will be supportive for both the dairy and livestock segments. The dairy sector in particular will benefit from export demand growth, as many other countries in Asia are facing growing domestic demand and relatively limited production capacity . However, the dairy sector will suffer over the short term due to low prices on the international market. We believe prices will pick up again in 2016.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1038818_new_zealand_agribusiness.aspx?afid=302

Key Trends

Milk production growth to 2018/19: 8.0% to 23.5 mn tonnes. Given the small domestic consumption base and the high productivity of the sector, long-term expansion will mainly come from export opportunities, particularly to Asia and the Middle East, which are forecast to enjoy significant dairy consumption growth over our forecast period.

Milk powder production growth to 2018/19: 12.0% to 1.6 mn tonnes. Across all the dairy segments, export opportunities (particularly to China) will be the main growth drivers over the medium term.

2015 real GDP growth: 2.4%, down from 3.1% in 2014. Forecast to average 2.4% between 2015 and 2019.

Key Developments

Dairy prices in Asia Pacific, as measured by Fonterra's GlobalDairyTrade auction prices, will remain weak over a six-month horizon, pressured by abundant supply and lacklustre global import demand for dairy products. However, we believe there is little further downside to prices. Indeed, Fonterra showed its willingness to provide some support to prices, as it intentionally reduced the volume of dairy products on offer at the last auction on August 19 2015 in order to prop up prices.

The New Zealand Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's New Zealand Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

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