Market Report, "Russia Agribusiness Report Q4 2014", published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri Aug 22 2014

We are very positive about growth potential in the Russian agricultural sector and see tremendous opportunities in the grains and dairy segments in particular . We view the livestock sector positively as well , even though the dominance of the market by domestic players and the high barriers to entry could limit investment and productivity gains in the medium term. Government investment into the dairy and livestock sectors will aid domestic production out to the end of our forecast period in 2018.

Key Developments

* Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 57.3% to 59.3mn tonnes. Yield gains and better access to export markets in Asia are expected to result in increased wheat production after the steep decline it production seen in 2013.
* Cheese consumption growth to 2018: 33.6% to 1.1mn tonnes. A shift from milk to more value-added products such as cheese will come from rising incomes and an ageing population in the country.
* Poultry production growth to 2017/18: 18.8% to 3.6mn tonnes. This will come on the back of strong domestic demand and government initiatives to ensure a domestic production surplus. Specifically, the government is implementing programmes to improve the country's slaughter and processing capabilities.
* 2014 real GDP growth: 1.0% (down from 1.3% in 2014; forecast to average 2.0% over 2013-2018).
* Consumer price inflation: 6.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) on average in 2014 (down from 6.8% y-o-y on average in 2013).
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: 4.6% y-o-y to USD96.1bn in 2013/14, forecast to grow on average 3.2% annually between 2013/14 and 2017/18.

Full Report Details at

The Russia Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Russia Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.


Executive Summary

An analytical summary of BMI's latest key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook for agribusiness in Russia.

Industry SWOT Analysis

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