"Germany Petrochemicals Report Q1 2015" is now available at Fast Market Research

Although the volatility seen in the domestic market had an beneficial impact on German petrochemicals industry in H214, but in the long-term we believe that the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) will determine the structure of the industry amidst growing fears that German producers will lose out.

Representing a quarter of all European Union (EU) chemicals sales, the German market will be pivotal to the performance of the regional chemicals market. A slowdown in domestic demand will lead to a reduction in imports and as such European producers cannot bank on German demand to compensate for weaknesses elsewhere in the EU market.

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The recovery in Germany's chemical industry faltered in Q314 as output fell 0.3% q-o-q and 3.4% y-o-y. However, the downturn was less acute in the petrochemicals and polymers segments. Petrochemicals and derivatives output rose 0.5% q-o-q but fell 2.7% y-o-y, while polymers production rose 0.5% q-o-q and fell 1.7% y-o-y. This is in line with BMI's expectation of an overall stagnation in petrochemicals and polymers, even as value added parts of the production chain will strengthen. Chemical sales on the domestic market dropped 1.0% q-o-q and 0.5% y-o-y, while foreign sales rose 1.5% q-o-q and 1.0% y-o-y.

The transition towards renewable resources will continue to exert a sizeable cost on energy-intensive German petrochemicals industries despite recent energy reforms. Attempts to shield the industry from these costs will delay the process of economic rebalancing towards a more consumption-based growth model, although German industrial competitiveness will ultimately suffer from higher energy costs. Added to this is the advent of TTIP, which will force German petrochemicals producers into greater competition with shale-based US rivals. German producers will need to rely on high value added specialisation in order to counter the onslaught of high volume basic chemicals output from the US.

The Ukraine crisis...

The Germany Petrochemicals Report has been researched at source, and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for key petrochemicals sub-sectors. The report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing companies by products and services, sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Germany Petrochemicals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the German petrochemicals industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent petrochemicals industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the German petrochemicals market.

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