"Lithuania Country Risk Report Q2 2015" is now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri Feb 06 2015


Core View

* While Lithuania will experience subdued economic growth in 2015 on the back of geopolitical headwinds, the outlook for 2016 is brighter. Improving external demand and Lithuania's first Liquefied Natural Gas terminal will boost exports and fixed investment from 2016 onwards.
* Public support for Lithuania's centre-left ruling coalition will remain high, as the government maintains the same policy course in 2015-2016 that bolstered its public approval ratings in 2014 - its hardline stance towards Russia and ramped-up fiscal spending. This will solidify their term in power and will boost their chances of winning general elections in October 2016.
* The Lithuanian government's goal of achieving balanced budget by 2017 remains out of reach, as the fallout from the Ukraine crisis will suppress public revenue growth and keep expenditures elevated. Nevertheless, the modest fiscal slippage we project will not hurt Lithuania's solid sovereign profile or dent investor confidence over our forecast horizon.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/951902_lithuania_country_risk_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=302

Major Forecast Changes

* We estimate Lithuania's current account to have shifted back into deficit in 2014, and we expect it to remain in negative territory in the coming quarters due to the deteriorating outlook for exports. We do not see risks to the country's ability to meet its external financing needs due to the stable outlook for foreign direct investment inflows.

Risks To Outlook

* Still-depressed business investment into traditional sectors of the economy, such as construction, do not bode well for a continuation of the ongoing trend in GFCF growth. Indeed, recent years have shown that this expenditure component of GDP has been volatile, and we cannot rule out an erratic recovery in fixed investment going forward.
* Years in underinvestment in infrastructure and social programmes could heighten pressure on the government to ramp up spending over the next few years, which would lead to a deterioration of Lithuania's fiscal accounts. However, we...

The Lithuania Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Lithuania and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market..

An influential new analysis of Lithuania's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Lithuania's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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