"Colombia Business Forecast Report Q4 2014" now available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri Oct 17 2014

Core Views:

* We believe that Colombia's economy will expand at robust growth rates in the coming years, benefitting from strong private consumption and rising gross fixed capital formation (GFCF). That said, with the oil sector set for slower growth, this will prompt larger net exports deficits, such that we anticipate slightly slower growth over the next decade than in the last.
* The infrastructure, telecommunications and power sectors are particularly well positioned for growth.
* After President Juan Manuel Santos won re-election in May, we anticipate broad policy continuity throughout the next administration.

Major Forecast Changes:

We have tempered our optimism on Colombia's long-term growth outlook. While the country remains one of our favourites in the region, our increasingly cautious view toward the country's oil sector will feed through to the economy in a number of ways:

* We are now forecasting 4.6% average real GDP growth between 2014 and 2024, revised down slightly from our previous 4.7% forecast. This change reflects our expectation that net exports will become a growing burden on headline growth.
* Moreover, whereas we had previously expected the government would stay the course in its fiscal consolidation efforts, we now forecast that the slower oil production growth combined with increasing pressure to spend on social programmes will feed through to modest fiscal slippage toward the latter half of our 10-year forecast period.
* Finally, we have tempered our foreign reserve growth forecasts, noting that weaker oil production is likely to weigh on export growth and drive up the country's current account deficits.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/887956_colombia_business_forecast_report_q4_2014.aspx?afid=302

While the country is well positioned to withstand the storm, with low external debt and a sizeable stock of foreign reserves, the potential for deterioration in the country's macroeconomic buffers will temper investor perception of Colombia's sovereign creditworthiness.

Key Risks To Outlook:

* Upside Risks: Elevated foreign...

The Colombia Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Colombia and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Colombia's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Colombia's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.

About Fast Market Research

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For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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