Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q1 2015 - New Study Released
New Food research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
[USPRwire, Mon Nov 17 2014] Pakistan's vulnerability to flooding has been highlighted again this September, leading us to revise down our previously positive forecasts for rice and cotton. Ironically, a shortage of water was also a problem in the earlier part of the summer. Despite this setback, rice exporters should enjoy better prices for their products in the coming years of our forecast period with basmati undergoing a revival which we see continuing to gather momentum if a barter deal can be concluded with Iran. The wheat harvest was completed well before fields were flooded with minor damage to a small percentage of the harvest due to inadequate storage. The sugar industry continues to be troubled by disputes between growers and millers, although there may be grounds for optimism if the government's concessions on export deposits allow processors to make more timely payments to farmers.
* Cotto n consumption growth to 2018: 11.2 % to 12.3 mn 480lb bales. Favourable trade agreements with the EU will see an increase in demand from the textile industry, but higher prices will see growth rates moderate in the later years of the forecast period.
* Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 10.5% to 25.9 mn tonnes. Production growth will be slow as farmers struggle with rising input costs, particularly fuel and fertiliser.
* 2015 real GDP growth: 4.0%. Down from 4.1% in 2014.
* Consumer price inflation: 7.3 % in 2015 (down from 9.0% in 2014).
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD31 .66bn in 2015 (up 3.4% from USD30.61bn in 2014; forecast to grow annually by 2.6% on average to 2018).
Industry Developments
Around 2.4mmn hectares (ha) of agricultural land has been affected by flooding in Pakistan, according to the Government. Heavy monsoon rains caused rivers to swell and burst their banks leading to the deaths of 300 people and displacing around half a million others, washing...
The Pakistan Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's Pakistan Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.
Coverage
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